Tuesday 11/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Tuesday 11/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Money Manager Extraordinaire
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Anyone interested in splitting IC's NBA Game of the month?

Cle vs Wash
 

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Nover has a big play today.


! ! ! RED ALERT ! ! !

Second Biggest College Release of the Season

50-Dime MAC Game of the Year


Bowling Green at Buffalo

 

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Nover has a big play today.


! ! ! RED ALERT ! ! !


Second Biggest College Release of the Season

50-Dime MAC Game of the Year


Bowling Green at Buffalo

Guess he thinks we all forgot about his 50 dime play sunday on the packers
:laugh:
 

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Nover has a big play today.


! ! ! RED ALERT ! ! !

Second Biggest College Release of the Season

50-Dime MAC Game of the Year


Bowling Green at Buffalo

Why not purchase it? I do not understand why people do this, but it happens all the time.
Are people just looking for others to buy these plays for them? Maybe it's just me -- but I do not understand why people post ads like this...why not just get it.
I'm not trying to be critical, I just don't understand why these things are posted. Kind of a wasted post...IMHO.
 

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Saints (-11-1/2) and Yankees Monday night.

Today it's the Bulls. The surplus is 645 sirignanos.

Which bulls? Chicago or Buffalo? Why can't these touts even tell you what sport they're talking about?
 
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The Def of a JACKASS,,,

SportsMemo just awful the entire month of October.:laugh:

Why not post a GOM on Nov 3rd? What a joke:lolBIG:

<TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>Fairway Jay's 20* NBA NonConf O/U GOM (75% 20* O/Us): $39
</TD></TR><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>You only have a handful of opportunities to score a 20* O/U in the NBA with Fairway per season... tonight is one of those big chances! Jay's 20* Totals in the NBA are 12-4 (75%) since 2008, a major money maker. Get it tonight for $39 and it's guaranteed to win or his next NBA report is free.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" vAlign=bottom align=left> </TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN-TOP: 1px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 11px" vAlign=bottom width=200 align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>Fairway Jay's 20* NBA NonConf O/U GOM (75% 20* O/Us): $39
</TD></TR><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>You only have a handful of opportunities to score a 20* O/U in the NBA with Fairway per season... tonight is one of those big chances! Jay's 20* Totals in the NBA are 12-4 (75%) since 2008, a major money maker. Get it tonight for $39 and it's guaranteed to win or his next NBA report is free.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" vAlign=bottom align=left> </TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN-TOP: 1px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 11px" vAlign=bottom width=200 align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>Fairway Jay's 20* NBA NonConf O/U GOM (75% 20* O/Us): $39
</TD></TR><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" class=verdana_11 vAlign=bottom colSpan=2>You only have a handful of opportunities to score a 20* O/U in the NBA with Fairway per season... tonight is one of those big chances! Jay's 20* Totals in the NBA are 12-4 (75%) since 2008, a major money maker. Get it tonight for $39 and it's guaranteed to win or his next NBA report is free.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD style="MARGIN-TOP: 4px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 3px; MARGIN-LEFT: 11px" vAlign=bottom align=left> </TD><TD style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN-TOP: 1px; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 0px; MARGIN-RIGHT: 11px" vAlign=bottom width=200 align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Which bulls? Chicago or Buffalo? Why can't these touts even tell you what sport they're talking about?

I would say it is Buffalo. The reason I say that is when he released the play this morning The Chi Bulls game still did not have a line on the game. So I would hope that he would not have picked the Chi Bulls not knowing what the line on the game was.
 

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Oct 12, 2009
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NORTHCOAST

Went 2 - 12 on ALL plays rated 3*'s and higher in all areas in NCAA football. Ironically hit their top play, which is all you will hear about from them all week. Went 2 - 1 in NFL, top play winner.

NCAA

1-0 4.5*
0-4 4*
1-7 3*

this is -33.2 units. at a buck a unit, well over 3 Grand lost.

went 0 - 4 on their "Marque Plays" you never hear this record, unless they win. Then they sing about it like there is no tomorrow.

Worst day NCAA wagering for me ever, got buried, they have really stunk up the joint in NCAA football, have hit top plays. They go on and on about that, and of course, do not mention the fact that they are burying their clients in NCAA football.

Pro is better, but not much more than 50%

Chatter thread, so I am using it vent a bit. Pisses me off when tout talks about how wonderful they are by talking about a play, a comp, or a top play, when in fact overall they tanked and drilled their clients. Overall is all that matters.

I don't hop or skip from capper to capper, but NC has hurt me over the long haul, and I cannot take their bull anymore. Anyone have any recommendations for NCAA football? How about NBA basketball, and NCAA basketball?

Thanks for letting me vent, and any suggestions welcome. NC just another big talking self promoting service that runs hot and cold, and uses the system to it's advantage, be it small college record, totals, top play totals, NFL, Marque plays, and even Individual Conference plays to promote it's service, depending on which one won, or has been on a decent run, rather than truthfully reviewing the entire week's worth of plays.

They buried their clients in units lost this week with the vast majority of plays being not even close. Be warned.


STILL CURIOUS ABOUT THE BASKETBALL SERVICE OPINIONS
 

CHRISTOPHERWALKEN
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Sep 28, 2009
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Stephen Nover

Phoenix at MIAMI

One the heels of an overtime winner on the Kings, we take the Under in this Interconference clash.

One of the hardest lines for the oddsmaker to make is an NBA total where there are contrasting styles. You won't have a bigger example of this than the Suns-Heat matchup.

The Suns are No. 1 offensively averaging 117.3 points. The Heat rank first in defensive field goal percentage at 38.6 percent and are tops in 3-point defensive field goal percentage holding foes to 21.6 percent from beyond the arc. Miami is yielding 87.7 points per game, the fifth-lowest in the NBA.

The situation, spot and handicap favor defense over offense in this matchup.

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra has always stressed defense since taking over in Miami two years ago. It's not a fluke the Heat are playing so well on defense.

Jermaine O'Neal suffered a broken nose in Miami's last game. He'll probably play but may be limited. That could open up more playing time for reserve big man Joel Anthony. O'Neal is a scorer. Anthony is a shot-blocker ranking sixth in the category despite playing just 18 minutes per game.

The Suns are running again under Alvin Gentry. Steve Nash still is highly effective. However, Amare Stoudamire isn't 100 percent yet and Leandro Barbosa has a sore wrist.

The Suns are 3-0, but their victims have been the Clippers, Warriors and Timberwolves. These teams have a combined record of 2-9 with none expected to make the playoffs. None of the three rank among the top 13 teams in scoring defense either.

So the Suns are stepping up in class for the first time. This is the beginning of a five-game, seven-day road journey for the Suns. They will travel nearly 7,000 miles during this trip.

If the Heat were to get a big lead, Gentry very well could save his team's legs by joining the Heat in slowing the ball down while going more to his bench.

3♦ UNDER
 

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LineChangers
Monopoly pick- Bowling Green

Hot cappers I've been following. They have Bowling Green tonight. Had Falcons and Over last night. The plays they call "Monopoly" are 7-1 in football since 10/30. I get them at twitter.com/LineChangers
 

CHRISTOPHERWALKEN
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

BOWLING GREEN +3.5

For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the visitors: With the combination of QB Tyler Sheehan and WR Freddie Barnes, Bowling Greens' arial attack remains solid; Sheehan has completed 65 % of his passes for 2,677 yards with 15 TD's and only five INT's.

Barnes has burst onto the national scene by making 99 receptions for 1,054 yards and nine TD's.

It's true the Falcons are 1-5 ATS their last six overall, but dating back to last season they're 9-2 ATS their last 11 on the road and 4-1 SU their last five vs. Buffalo.

On the other side of the field: In Buffalo’s most recent game, an overtime loss to Western Michigan on Oct. 24, Ike Nduka carried 18 times for 172 yards and a TD and has rushed for over 100 yards in three of Buffalo’s last four games; slowing him down in the backfield will be the plan for the Falcons.

The Bulls’ defense came into their last matchup ranked 42nd nationally at 331.1 yards per game allowed but they are now ranked 60th (352.8) after Western Michigan finished with 505 yards of total offense.

It should be noted that the secondary suffered several key injuries during that game and the only healthy cornerback from the two deep was junior Domonic Cook. Junior Josh Thomas and sophomore Joe Petit suffered concussions while senior Kendric Hawkins left with an internal injury.

Bottom line: While it’s a new coaching staff at BG, the Falcons will be looking for a measure of revenge against the Bulls, after last year's end of season fourth quarter meltdown which saw Buffalo win in double OT and then go on to win the MAC East, play in the conference championship game and in the International Bowl.

As the Bulls have been prone to the turnover this season (17 turnovers lost and only six gained, which is tied for 103rd nationally), I look for BOWLING GREEN to make the most of its opportunities tonight and to improve to 3-2 ATS as an "underdog" as Buffalo falls to 1-3 ATS at home and 0-2 ATS when playing the roll of favorite this season! *9* BOWLING GREEN.
 

CHRISTOPHERWALKEN
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Comps

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jeff Alexander

1 Unit on Lakers/Thunder UNDER 193.5

Bottom Line: Oklahoma City is 28-15 UNDER in home games since the beginning of last season. The Lakers are 23-10 UNDER in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons. I expect a much better defensive effort from the Lakers here after allowing an opponent over the century mark for the first time this season last game. Together, these two teams are 5-1 UNDER on the season, but the public is pounding the over here because of LA's perception as a high scoring team. The Lakers did put up a big number in their last game, but they failed to reach the century mark in their two prior. With this being the Lakers first road game of the season, I don't expect them to be hitting on all cylinders. Plus, LA will likely be more concerned about Houston tomorrow night. Over the last 2 seasons, 5 of 7 in this matchup have gone UNDER. Take UNDER 193.5 points for 1 unit tonight.

Dave Price

1 Unit on Indiana Pacers +6

I'll take the Pacers in the home dog role tonight considering they are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record while the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. The Pacers have not played since October 30th so they should be well rested and well prepared tonight. But here's the clincher: Plays on home teams off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite, team that had a losing record last season, are 23-4 ATS since 1996. Take the points.

MTi Sports

Washington Wizards at Cleveland Cavaliers
Prediction: Over

The Wizards are 7-0 OU (+14.5 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a win in which Gilbert Arenas shot better than 66% from the field and 6-0 OU (+12.2 ppg) after a win at home in which Deshawn Stevenson shot better than 66% from the field. The Cavs are 11-0 OU (+12.1 ppg) with at least one day of rest after a double digit win in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers. Consider these two OVER the total.

Karl Garrett

Phoenix at MIAMI -3'

Comp play winner on Atlanta-New Orleans OVER the total last night.

In a meeting of a pair of 3-0 teams, the G-Man prefers the host, as I expect Miami to handle matters against Phoenix on their home hardwood tonight.

Miami swept last year's two meetings, and have won and covered 3 in a row overall in this East-West rivalry.

The home team has gone 8-3 against the spread the last 11 meetings, and the Suns have struggled playing on Miami's floor in recent meetings, as Phoenix is on a 1-7 spread slide the last 8 games played in Florida.

Throw in the fact Miami is on a 21-8-1 spread run their last 30 games contested against the Pacific Division, and we have the makings of a Miami win and cover.

Take the Heat.

2♦ MIAMI


Sports Gambling Hotline

Boston -7 at PHILADELPHIA

Not really much to think about in this game, as it looks like Boston is the team to beat in the Eastern Conference, as the C's are out of the gate at 4-0 straight up, and 3-1 against the spread.

Philadelphia has won 2 in a row, but beating the Bucks and the Knicks is not the same as beating Boston.

Series numbers show the Celts having won 4 in a row, and 7 of the last 8 straight up.

Boston is also 12-4-1 against the spread the last 17 series meetings with the 76ers.

Against the spread, the road team is 17-8-1 the last 26 meetings, and Boston has been a strong road performer of late, going 9-3-1 against the spread their last 13 on the highway.

The choice tonight is an easy one for us, play on Boston.

4♦ BOSTON

Stephen Nover

Phoenix at MIAMI

One the heels of an overtime winner on the Kings, we take the Under in this Interconference clash.

One of the hardest lines for the oddsmaker to make is an NBA total where there are contrasting styles. You won't have a bigger example of this than the Suns-Heat matchup.

The Suns are No. 1 offensively averaging 117.3 points. The Heat rank first in defensive field goal percentage at 38.6 percent and are tops in 3-point defensive field goal percentage holding foes to 21.6 percent from beyond the arc. Miami is yielding 87.7 points per game, the fifth-lowest in the NBA.

The situation, spot and handicap favor defense over offense in this matchup.

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra has always stressed defense since taking over in Miami two years ago. It's not a fluke the Heat are playing so well on defense.

Jermaine O'Neal suffered a broken nose in Miami's last game. He'll probably play but may be limited. That could open up more playing time for reserve big man Joel Anthony. O'Neal is a scorer. Anthony is a shot-blocker ranking sixth in the category despite playing just 18 minutes per game.

The Suns are running again under Alvin Gentry. Steve Nash still is highly effective. However, Amare Stoudamire isn't 100 percent yet and Leandro Barbosa has a sore wrist.

The Suns are 3-0, but their victims have been the Clippers, Warriors and Timberwolves. These teams have a combined record of 2-9 with none expected to make the playoffs. None of the three rank among the top 13 teams in scoring defense either.

So the Suns are stepping up in class for the first time. This is the beginning of a five-game, seven-day road journey for the Suns. They will travel nearly 7,000 miles during this trip.

If the Heat were to get a big lead, Gentry very well could save his team's legs by joining the Heat in slowing the ball down while going more to his bench.

3♦ UNDER

Tom Freese

Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Denver Nuggets

Denver is 19-7 ATS after scoring 100 or more points in their last game and they are 15-5 ATS after allowing 100 or more points in their last game. The Nuggets are 11-4-1 ATS their last 16 games when playing with one day of rest and they are 7-1 ATS their last 8 road games. Indiana is 2-7 ATS their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning record and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 games as home underdogs. The Pacers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a win percentage of over 60% and they are 2-8 ATS their last 10 games vs. the Nuggets. PLAY ON DENVER

LT Profits

Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers

The Boston Celtics are playing like a team on a mission thus far while going 4-0, but the Philadelphia 76ers are a dangerous team at home and this is a lot of points for them to be receiving at Wachovia Center.

The 76ers have won two straight since losing at Orlando on opening night, winning their only home game by 13 points over the Milwaukee Bucks and then beating the New York Knicks by 14 in overtime at Madison Square Garden.

The Philadelphia starters can compete with any team in the East right now, as Elton Brand is healthy unlike last year and new young point guard Lou Williams has done an excellent job thus far. To give you an idea how talented the Sixers are right now, they had four starters in double-digits vs. the Knicks and both of their starting guards (Williams and Andre Iguodala) has double-doubles in points and rebounds. They make for a tough matchup for any team in the league/

Now the Celtics are eying a return trip to the NBA Fianls after getting knocked out by the Orlando Magic without Kevin Garnett in the playoffs last year, and they did sweep the season series from the 76ers 4-0. However, the two wins here in Philadelphia were by just one (100-99) and two (100-98) points respectively/

We see no reason why a new and improved Sixers team cannot hang with Boston again here, and an outright upset would not be too shocking.

Pick: 76ers +7
 

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